Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.570143 0.660032 0.758651 0.874766 1.007630 1.154801 1.330068
2025-05-25 0.411406 0.530882 0.675713 0.863681 1.100631 1.388829 1.765346
2025-06-01 0.325560 0.454416 0.622237 0.855711 1.170877 1.580167 2.150445
2025-06-08 0.261532 0.389727 0.566927 0.827981 1.200695 1.711217 2.460571
2025-06-15 0.237290 0.373739 0.572054 0.878601 1.337215 1.993799 2.999898
2025-06-22 0.198642 0.329590 0.529074 0.851566 1.355434 2.106876 3.304798
2025-06-29 0.168434 0.293279 0.491906 0.826526 1.370523 2.212568 3.604021
2025-07-06 0.144986 0.264104 0.461454 0.806903 1.389525 2.322815 3.916771
2025-07-13 0.132193 0.250923 0.455012 0.824879 1.469726 2.535052 4.409145
2025-07-20 0.125082 0.246622 0.462746 0.867103 1.593791 2.828540 5.059865
2025-07-27 0.116499 0.238314 0.462147 0.893983 1.692993 3.087656 5.673507
2025-08-03 0.106824 0.226525 0.453611 0.904982 1.764029 3.302945 6.227679
2025-08-10 0.096135 0.211582 0.437934 0.901856 1.810691 3.482594 6.741186
2025-08-17 0.085654 0.195657 0.418536 0.889484 1.838899 3.631873 7.214348
2025-08-24 0.076949 0.182202 0.402315 0.881246 1.873621 3.795261 7.726794
2025-08-31 0.067498 0.165705 0.377712 0.852729 1.864309 3.872555 8.078943
2025-09-07 0.065931 0.166881 0.390724 0.904782 2.024931 4.295553 9.145696
2025-09-14 0.058235 0.152562 0.368108 0.876983 2.014655 4.375007 9.528019
2025-09-21 0.051620 0.139869 0.347547 0.851232 2.005744 4.455599 9.918104
2025-09-28 0.046146 0.129207 0.330342 0.831053 2.006730 4.556229 10.357460
2025-10-05 0.043588 0.125700 0.329700 0.849539 2.096662 4.853875 11.241957
2025-10-12 0.042613 0.126269 0.339045 0.892959 2.248183 5.297615 12.479623
2025-10-19 0.040811 0.124319 0.341860 0.920599 2.364999 5.673461 13.595645